Right now we're trying to give fund managers lots of latitude on what to do with the money. If they think there's an argument for saving the money and donating later we'll allow that (but ask for some communication about why saving the money makes sense).

I'd be interested in whether people would prefer a different policy.

In this model, what is the probability that the initiative (which I see is modeled as costing $6-39M) is successful? Or is it assumed that in the case where it isn't going to succeed, the cost is limited to the cost of polling ($50-300k)?