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More Thoughts (and Analysis) on the Mercy For Animals Online Ads Study

Summary Mercy for Animals ran an online ad campaign that found no statistically significant result on whether online ads reduced people’s meat consumption. However, the study had only a 19% chance of detecting a difference of one serving of animal products a day between the treatment and control group (in ...Read More
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Risky Giving*

*This piece was recently published in The Philosophers' Magazine : http://www.philosophersmag.com/index.php/tpm-mag-articles/11-essays/129-risky-giving Peter Singer famously argues that it is wrong of us not to give to effective charities helping people in extreme poverty. In “Famine, Affluence, in Morality”, published in 1972, he offers an elegant argument for this conclusion. The ethical ...Read More
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A Complete Quantitative Model for Cause Selection

Part of a series on quantitative models for cause selection. Quantitative models offer a superior approach in determining which interventions to support. However, naive cost-effectiveness estimates have big problems . In particular: They don’t give stronger consideration to more robust estimates. They don’t always account for all relevant factors. We ...Read More
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Quantifying the Far Future Effects of Interventions

Part of a series on quantitative models for cause selection. Introduction In the past I’ve written qualitatively about what sorts of interventions likely have the best far-future effects. But qualitative analysis is maybe not the best way to decide this sort of thing, so let’s build some quantitative models. I ...Read More
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Lessons from the history of animal rights

I’ve spent the past few weeks researching the history of animal welfare/rights and writing Wikipedia articles on what I’ve learned. This post is a summary of what I take to be the implications of this information for the effort to reduce animal suffering. I am not an historian, and my ...Read More
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GiveWell's Charity Recommendations Require Taking a Controversial Stance on Population Ethics

Cross-posted to my blog . GiveWell claims that the Against Malaria Foundation (AMF) is about 10 times as cost-effective as GiveDirectly. This entails unusual claims about population ethics that I believe many people would reject, and according to other plausible views of population ethics, AMF looks less cost-effective than the ...Read More
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GiveWell money moved in 2015: a review of my forecast and some future predictions

This post assumes some familiarity with the work of charity evaluator GiveWell , but here's a quick backgrounder for those not familiar: GiveWell lists a small set of top charities to donate to, and publishes detailed reviews of each. The list for 2015 comprises Against Malaria Foundation (malaria bednet distribution), ...Read More
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Upcoming workshops on future of AI [link]

A series of workshops on the future of artificial intelligence will be taking place over the next couple months. These will be co-hosted by the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. You can read more and find links to information about each workshop here: https://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2016/05/03/preparing-future-artificial-intelligence The workshops will ...Read More
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Room For More Funding In AI Safety Is Highly Uncertain

(Crossposted to LessWrong) Introduction In effective altruism, people talk about the room for more funding (RFMF) of various organizations. RFMF is simply the maximum amount of money which can be donated to an organization, and be put to good use, right now. In most cases, “right now” typically refers to ...Read More
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Assessment of Meetup.com Accounts for Local Groups

By the Local Effective Altruism Network team Contents Introduction Overall rating of Meetup Number of members on Meetup.com New group members from Meetup.com Members newly engaged in EA due to attending a meetup On the advantages of Meetup in contrast to other platforms and Facebook On the disadvantages of Meetup ...Read More

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