11

Doing good while clueless

This is the fourth (and final) post in a series exploring consequentialist cluelessness and its implications for effective altruism: The first post describes cluelessness & its relevance to EA; arguing that for many popular EA interventions we don’t have a clue about the intervention’s overall net impact. The second post... Read More
4

How tractable is cluelessness?

This is the third in a series of posts exploring consequentialist cluelessness and its implications for effective altruism: The first post describes cluelessness & its relevance to EA; arguing that for many popular EA interventions we don’t have a clue about the intervention’s overall net impact. The second post considers... Read More
6

“Just take the expected value” – a possible reply to concerns about cluelessness

This is the second in a series of posts exploring consequentialist cluelessness and its implications for effective altruism: The first post describes cluelessness & its relevance to EA; arguing that for many popular EA interventions we don’t have a clue about the intervention’s overall net impact. This post considers a... Read More
14

What consequences?

This is the first in a series of posts exploring consequentialist cluelessness and its implications for effective altruism: This post describes cluelessness & its relevance to EA; arguing that for many popular EA interventions we don’t have a clue about the intervention’s overall net impact. The  second post  considers a... Read More
6

Reading recommendations for the problem of consequentialist scope?

Determining which scope of outcomes to consider when making a decision seems like a difficult problem for consequentialism. By "scope of outcomes" I mean how far into the future and how many links in the causal chain to incorporate into decision-making. For example, if I'm assessing the comparative goodness of two... Read More
4

Should Good Ventures focus on current giving opportunities, or save for future giving opportunities?

Around this time of year, GiveWell  traditionally spends a lot of time thinking about game theoretic considerations – specifically, what funding recommendation it ought to make to Good Ventures  so that Good Ventures allocates its resources wisely. (Here are GiveWell's game theoretic posts from 2014  & 2015 .) The main considerations... Read More