16

Where I Am Donating in 2016

Part of a series for My Cause Selection 2016. For background, see my writings on cause selection for 2015 and my series on quantitative models . Introduction In my previous essay, I explained why I am prioritizing animal advocacy as a cause area. In this essay, I decide where to... Read More
14

Dedicated Donors May Not Want to Sign the Giving What We Can Pledge

Cross-posted to my blog . The Giving What We Can pledge serves as a useful way to commit to donating 10% (or more) of your income, and probably also helps show by example that donating this much money is a reasonable and achievable thing to do. I believe it serves... Read More
2

Altruistic Organizations Should Consider Counterfactuals When Hiring

Cross-posted to my blog . Counterfactuals matter. When you’re taking a job, you should care about who would take the job if you didn’t, and how much worse a job than you they’d do. This matters from the other side too: employers should consider counterfactuals when deciding who to hire.... Read More
21

Why the Open Philanthropy Project Should Prioritize Wild Animal Suffering

Cross-posted to my website . Like the last time I wrote something like this, my suggestions here could apply to any large foundation. But most large foundations don’t care at all about what I say, and the Open Philanthropy Project cares at least a tiny bit about what I say,... Read More
8

Evaluation Frameworks (or: When Importance / Neglectedness / Tractability Doesn't Apply)

Let’s look at how we use frameworks to prioritize causes. We’ll start by looking at the commonly-used importance/neglectedness tractability framework and see why it often works well and why it doesn’t match reality. Then we’ll consider an alternative approach. Importance/neglectedness/tractability framework When people do high-level cause prioritization, they often use... Read More
18

A Complete Quantitative Model for Cause Selection

Part of a series on quantitative models for cause selection. Update : There’s now a web app that can do everything the spreadsheet could and more. Quantitative models offer a superior approach in determining which interventions to support. However, naive cost-effectiveness estimates have big problems . In particular: They don’t... Read More
8

Quantifying the Far Future Effects of Interventions

Part of a series on quantitative models for cause selection. Introduction In the past I’ve written qualitatively about what sorts of interventions likely have the best far-future effects. But qualitative analysis is maybe not the best way to decide this sort of thing, so let’s build some quantitative models. I... Read More
26

GiveWell's Charity Recommendations Require Taking a Controversial Stance on Population Ethics

Cross-posted to my blog . GiveWell claims that the Against Malaria Foundation (AMF) is about 10 times as cost-effective as GiveDirectly. This entails unusual claims about population ethics that I believe many people would reject, and according to other plausible views of population ethics, AMF looks less cost-effective than the... Read More
8

On Priors

Cross-posted to my blog . Part of a series on quantitative models for cause selection. Introduction One major reason that effective altruists disagree about which causes to support is that they have different opinions on how strong an evidence base an intervention should have. Previously, I wrote about how we... Read More
13

How Should a Large Donor Prioritize Cause Areas?

Cross-posted to my blog . The Open Philanthropy Project has made some grants that look substantially less impactful than some of its others, and some people have questioned the choice. I want to discuss some reasons why these sorts of grants might plausibly be a good idea, and why I... Read More

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