Philip Tetlock

Philip Tetlock is famous for his work on the concept and practice of good judgement, including on how to make accurate probabilistic predictions, which he discusses in his book Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.

Tetlock, Philip E. (2006) Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?, Princeton: Princeton Univ. Press.

Tetlock, Philip E. & Dan Gardner (2015) Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, New York: Crown Publishers.

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Philip Eyrikson Tetlock (born 2 March 1954) is a Canadian-American political scientist, currently a professor at the University of Pennsylvania.

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