Zeke_Sherman comments on Utopia In The Fog - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: Zeke_Sherman 04 June 2017 08:19:46AM *  0 points [-]

Amateur question: would it help to also include back-of-the-envelop calculations to make your arguments more concrete?

Don't think so. It's too broad and speculative with ill-defined values. It just boils down to (a) whether my scenarios are more likely than the AI-Foom scenario, and (b) whether my scenarios are more neglected. There's not many other factors that a complicated calculation could add.