18

Zeke_Sherman comments on Utopia In The Fog - Effective Altruism Forum

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (14)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Zeke_Sherman 04 June 2017 08:19:46AM *  0 points [-]

Amateur question: would it help to also include back-of-the-envelop calculations to make your arguments more concrete?

Don't think so. It's too broad and speculative with ill-defined values. It just boils down to (a) whether my scenarios are more likely than the AI-Foom scenario, and (b) whether my scenarios are more neglected. There's not many other factors that a complicated calculation could add.