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Peter_Hurford comments on Proposal for an Pre-registered Experiment in EA Outreach - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: cafelow  (EA Profile) 09 January 2017 02:14:39AM 1 point [-]

Sounds great Linch. My only thought is... if this is supposed to inform the usual rank-and-file GWWC members about whether and how to approach talking to others, you should try to get a fairly normal distribution of GWWC members to be the experimentees. My guess is that Peter Hurford may well be more convincing to his friends than the average GWWC member.

Comment author: Peter_Hurford  (EA Profile) 09 January 2017 06:18:02PM 1 point [-]

My guess is that Peter Hurford may well be more convincing to his friends than the average GWWC member.

I don't know about that -- my friends are not very EA inclined and I'm not really any less awkward about talking about GWWC than anyone else I know.

Comment author: cafelow  (EA Profile) 09 January 2017 07:26:32PM 0 points [-]

I guess we'll find out :)

Comment author: Peter_Hurford  (EA Profile) 09 January 2017 10:35:44PM 1 point [-]

Not if Linch can't get more volunteers!

Comment author: Linch 10 January 2017 01:15:53AM 1 point [-]

I have three so far, including yourself!

Comment author: Linch 10 January 2017 01:20:58AM 0 points [-]

I'm not sure we can find out even after the experiment. Since the base rate is at best 10-20%, I would expect the differences in random variance to swamp out person-to-person differences in skill, credibility etc.