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QALYs/$ are more intuitive than $/QALYs

Cross-posted from my blog . Summary Cost-effectiveness estimates are often expressed in $/QALYs instead of QALYs/$. But QALYs/$ are preferable because they are more intuitive. To avoid small numbers, we can renormalise to QALYs/$10,000, or something similar. Cost-effectiveness estimates are often expressed in $/QALYs. Four examples: GiveWell, “Errors in DCP2... Read More
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Four quantitative models, aggregation, and final decision - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Tom Sittler, Director Cross-posted to the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Summary: Congratulations to 80,000 Hours for winning the £10,000 Oxford Prioritisation Project grant! This is a summary post about our final grant... Read More
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A model of 80,000 Hours - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Sindy Li, Fellow. Created: 2017-05-12 Cross-posted from the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Summary: We built a quantitative model estimating the impact of 80,000 Hours. To measure our uncertainty, we built the model... Read More
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Expected value estimates we (cautiously) took literally - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Tom Sittler, Director Cross-posted from the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Summary: This post describes how we turned the cost-effectiveness estimates of our four shortlisted organisations into a final decision. In order to... Read More
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A model of Animal Charity Evaluators - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Dominik Peters, Fellow (with Tom Sittler) Created: 2017-05-13 Cross-posted from the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Summary. We describe a simple simulation model for the recommendations of a charity evaluator like Animal Charity Evaluators... Read More
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A model of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Sindy Li, Fellow Created: 2017-05-12 Cross-posted from the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Summary: We built a quantitative model estimating the impact of the Machine Intelligence Research Institute. To measure our uncertainty, we... Read More
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Modelling the Good Food Institute - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Dominik Peters Cross-posted from the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . Created 2017-04-18. Revised 2017-05-19. We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. We have attempted to build a quantitative model to estimate the impact of the Good Food Institute (GFI). We... Read More
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A model of StrongMinds - Oxford Prioritisation Project

By Lovisa Tenberg and Konstantin Sietzy Cross-posted to the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Summary: In 2016 James Snowden of the Centre for Effective Altruism built a quantitative model estimating the impact of StrongMinds.... Read More
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How much does work in AI safety help the world? Probability distribution version (Oxford Prioritisation Project)

By Tom Sittler, Director 2017-04-26 We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. The Global Priorities Project (GPP) has a model quantifying the impact of adding a researcher to the field of AI safety. Quoting from GPP: There’s been some discussion lately... Read More
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Charity Evaluators: first model and open questions (Oxford Prioritisation Project)

2017-04-25 By Dominik Peters (with Tom Sittler) Cross posted to the Oxford Prioritisation Project blog . We're centralising all discussion on the Effective Altruism forum. To discuss this post, please comment here. Abstract. We describe a simple simulation model for the recommendations of a charity evaluator like GiveWell or ACE. The... Read More

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