Carl_Shulman comments on A Complete Quantitative Model for Cause Selection - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: Carl_Shulman 20 May 2016 07:12:31PM *  0 points [-]

I also really think that you need to address the super-strong empirical claims implicit in your prior (held fixed, with no updating on evidence that it's wrong, and with no mixture of other models) at the tails. I've added to threads under your previous post on priors, with links to other discussions.