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MichaelDickens comments on A Complete Quantitative Model for Cause Selection - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: MichaelDickens  (EA Profile) 18 May 2016 01:37:38PM *  2 points [-]

Thanks for the feedback, Buck.

  1. I updated the description for "developing world human" to be less ambiguous.

  2. I agree that the survey respondents are too optimistic. I thought I had changed the numbers to be more pessimistic but apparently I didn't.

  3. Considering how quickly the AI safety field is growing, I would be surprised if there were fewer than 200 AI safety researchers within 20 years (and it's pretty unlikely that AGI is developed before then). I use "How Big Is AI" here.