JeffMJordan comments on My Cause Selection: Michael Dickens - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: JeffMJordan 22 September 2015 05:46:26AM 2 points [-]

Really quick question: I was wondering why the 1.5:1 ratio is enough to outweigh your uncertainty about REG's impact?

Comment author: MichaelDickens  (EA Profile) 22 September 2015 05:54:01AM 3 points [-]

Well that's certainly a concern. I'm made more confident by the fact that REG directs funding to multiple charities that are good candidates for top charity, and I believe their model has reasonably good learning value. Plus 1.5:1 is sufficiently higher than 1:1 that I believe it's more likely to have a positive multiplicative effect from outside view.

Comment author: JeffMJordan 22 September 2015 06:02:52AM 2 points [-]

I'm not sure I understand. I would think that in the face of uncertainty it would be better to divide donations in accordance to how likely we find each model.

Comment author: iamasockpuppet 22 September 2015 05:49:35AM 2 points [-]

Surely that depends on the level of uncertainty?