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Milan_Griffes comments on Mental Health Shallow Review - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: Milan_Griffes 21 November 2017 01:56:29AM 1 point [-]

Great post; very excited to see more good work in this direction.

Milan Griffes's post on psychedelic legalization on the same forum, in which he estimates the return to lobbying to legalize psychedelics at $52,000-$442,000/DALY.

Probably worth noting that $52,000-$442,000/DALY is the all-in cost which includes costs of treatment, in addition to the cost of a ballot initiative. Treatment costs make up almost the entirety of the total cost, and it's unclear who would bear these costs (funders of the ballot initiative almost certainly wouldn't).

Comment author: Elizabeth 21 November 2017 02:51:00AM 1 point [-]

Oops, thanks for the correction. Do you have those broken out separately?

Comment author: Milan_Griffes 21 November 2017 05:37:55PM *  1 point [-]

Yes, see rows 4 - 17 in our model:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1i6aRlYiITg_birU6rW7FuN9O18X6zLucbCsdPRAkR9E/edit?usp=sharing

Best-guess is that the ballot initiative costs ~$16 million all-in, whereas the yearly cost per treatment is ~$2.6 billion.

We haven't yet figured out a believable way to separate out the portion of benefit attributable to the ballot initiative compared to the portion of benefit attributable to the treatment itself.