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WillPearson comments on In defence of epistemic modesty - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: WillPearson 30 October 2017 09:23:34AM 0 points [-]

Is there any data on how likely EAs think that explosive progress after HLMI will happen? I would have thought it more than 10%?

I would also have expected more debate about explosive progress, more than just the recent Hanson-Yudkowski flair up, if there was as much doubt in the community as that survey suggests.