RomeoStevens comments on Effective Altruism Grants project update - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: RomeoStevens 03 October 2017 11:49:22PM 0 points [-]

I can't make a case for prioritization as I haven't been able to find enough data points for a reasonable base rate of expectations of effects from the incentive. Fqxi might have non public data on how their program has gone that they might be willing to share with cea. I'd probably also try reaching out to the John Templeton foundation, though they are less likely to engage. It is likely worth a short brainstorm of people who might know more about how prizes typically work out.