Earlier this month I made a fairly long post on nuclear policy with many considerations for how different technologies might upset or improve nuclear deterrence, and why epistemic humility is extremely valuable as some EAs begin to focus more on policy.
To centralize discussion of this, I think it is best to post comments on the post above here on the EA forum. The post would have been made here, but unfortunately there is a lot of html, which vastly improves the readability of the post via compression, but does not work on the EA Forum. Leave any comments you have below.
"Making blunt pushes for different policies are likely to be unimpactful on policy or harmful if impactful." I think that this is true in many cases, but is often not considered by activists lobbying for change. It's very easy to protest in favor of an ideal, but asking for an extreme alternative immediately seems naive to people in positions to cause direct change. In my opinion, activists are most effective when they consider the pressures that are preventing change from the current state, and ask for alternatives that are mindful of these pressures.
Great example that we need to take the time to educate ourselves and assume that most of the people making decisions are smart, capable people.