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Ben_West comments on An Argument for Why the Future May Be Good - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: Ben_West  (EA Profile) 20 August 2017 05:25:42PM 0 points [-]

Thanks Brian!

I think you are describing two scenarios:

  1. Post-humans will become something completely alien to us (e.g. mindless outsourcers). In this case, arguments that these post-humans will not have negative states equally imply that these post-humans won't have positive states. Therefore, we might expect some (perhaps very strong) regression towards neutral moral value.
  2. Post-humans will have some sort of abilities which are influenced by current humans’ values. In this case, it seems like these post-humans will have good lives (at least as measured by our current values).

This still seems to me to be asymmetric – as long as you have some positive probability on scenario (2), isn't the expected value greater than zero?