purplepeople comments on What does Trump mean for EA? - Effective Altruism Forum

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Comment author: purplepeople 10 November 2016 08:19:33PM 4 points [-]

If we pull the camera back far enough, my guess is in a generation or two America will be on a good track again, so long as Trump doesn't start a war or use our nuclear warheads. As the White House Press Secretary said, the institutions of the U.S. have survived a civil war, 2 world wars, and the Great Depression. This will be a bad 4 years with adverse consequences on the rest of the world. Putin will be on the offensive, both in reality and in cyberspace. And U.S. carbon emissions will increase. But I still believe AI risk is the most dangerous threat to humanity.

Comment author: kbog  (EA Profile) 11 November 2016 05:23:32AM 2 points [-]

I'm with you, and I really, really want to be on the side of skepticism and saying that this election is no different from normal cycles we've had in the past. But this is the first time ever that we've given serious support to someone with a history of neither political office nor military leadership. And someone who really clearly has no consistent train of thought or policy acumen. If the economy happens to be strong and the country is successful, then people will appreciate his persona and values as the basis for a very entrenched brand of populist conservatism. So in this case I think it's okay to say that the long term future of America could be seriously altered from what we consider to be normal, and it's okay to say that this election was unusually consequential.